Latest polls from IBRiS
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in IBRiS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 3.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, IBRiS's average ranking is 11.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
1x on rank 11
Rating of parties
Institute often rates KO higher
In 31% of election polls, IBRiS rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 40% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kukiz’15 lower
In 58% of election polls IBRiS rates Kukiz’15 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 40% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 57% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 45% of election polls IBRiS rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 54% of election polls, IBRiS rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 45% of election polls IBRiS rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
