Current election polls by IBSP

Latest polls from IBSP

Poland
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
Open Details
37.4
27.8
10.3
8.3
2.2
Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
Open Details
38.6
30.5
11.6
8.5
2
0.1
Poland
· 7 months ago
7 months ago
Open Details
35
30.8
14.7
8.9
0.8
0.4
Poland
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details
37.9
30.6
10
8.4
7.7
3.3
2.1
Poland
· 11 months ago
11 months ago
Open Details
34.7
33.9
11.1
7.3
6.7
3.7
2
0.6

Rating of parties

Institute often rates KO higher
In 36% of election polls, IBSP rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 52% of election polls, IBSP rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica lower
In 36% of election polls IBSP rates Lewica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 higher
In 79% of election polls, IBSP rates PL2050 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 92% of election polls IBSP rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in IBSP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, IBSP's average ranking is 4.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5