Latest polls from IBSP
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in IBSP pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, IBSP's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction
Rating of parties
Institute often rates KO higher
In 35% of election polls, IBSP rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 55% of election polls, IBSP rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica lower
In 40% of election polls IBSP rates Lewica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 higher
In 92% of election polls, IBSP rates PL2050 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 91% of election polls IBSP rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.