Latest voting intention survey by Opinia24 for Poland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Poland conducted by Opinia24, the parties received the following results: KO 35.5%, PiS 27.5%, Kon 22.4%, PL2050/PSL 7%, Lewica 5% and Razem 2.5%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 601 people during the period 13.03.2025 - 13.03.2025.
601 participants
10.03.2025 - 13.03.2025
Opinia24
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
Seats in parliament
460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
23
5%
PL2050/PSL
33
7.2%
KO
168
36.5%
PiS
130
28.3%
Kon
106
23%
KO + PiS
KO + Kon
PiS + Kon
55
PolitPro Score
Opinia24 achieves a score of 55/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Opinia24 pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.74
|
Parliamentary Election in Polen 2023 | 11/11 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.