Latest polls from Opinia24
Rating of parties
Institute often rates KO higher
In 40% of election polls, Opinia24 rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 40% of election polls, Opinia24 rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS lower
In 82% of election polls Opinia24 rates PiS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher
In 38% of election polls, Opinia24 rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Opinia24 pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Opinia24's average ranking is 19.5.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
4
0x on rank 4
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7
8
0x on rank 8
9
0x on rank 9
10
0x on rank 10
11
0x on rank 11
12
1x on rank 12
13
0x on rank 13
14
0x on rank 14
15
0x on rank 15
16
0x on rank 16
17
0x on rank 17
18
0x on rank 18
19
0x on rank 19
20
0x on rank 20
21
0x on rank 21
22
0x on rank 22
23
0x on rank 23
24
0x on rank 24
25
0x on rank 25
26
0x on rank 26
27
1x on rank 27