Latest voting intention survey by Research Partner for Poland
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Poland conducted by Research Partner, the parties received the following results: KO 33.3%, ZP 31.3%, Kon 13%, PL2050/PSL 9.3%, Lewica 9% and BS 2.7%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1040 people during the period 22.07.2024 - 22.07.2024. The survey was commissioned by Ariadna.
1040 participants
19.07.2024 - 22.07.2024
Research Partner
Ariadna
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
KO
33.3
+1.3
ZP
31.3
-2.6
Kon
13.0
+3.2
PL2050/PSL
9.3
-3.0
Lewica
9.0
-0.8
BS
2.7
+1.1
Others
1.4
+0.8
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
43
9.3%
PL2050/PSL
44
9.6%
KO
160
34.8%
ZP
151
32.8%
Kon
62
13.5%
KO + ZP
KO + Kon + PL2050/PSL
KO + Kon + Lewica
ZP + Kon + PL2050/PSL
ZP + Kon + Lewica
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
ZP + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
64
PolitPro Score
Research Partner achieves a score of 64/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Research Partner pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.7
|
Parliamentary Election in Polen 2023 | 10/11 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.