Current election polls by Social Changes

Latest polls from Social Changes

Poland
· 3 months ago
3 months ago
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Poland
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
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Poland
· 4 months ago
4 months ago
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Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
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Poland
· 5 months ago
5 months ago
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Rating of parties

Institute often rates KO lower
In 45% of election polls Social Changes rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 46% of election polls, Social Changes rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS lower
In 53% of election polls Social Changes rates PiS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 33% of election polls Social Changes rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050/PSL lower
In 79% of election polls Social Changes rates PL2050/PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 52% of election polls Social Changes rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP higher
In 44% of election polls, Social Changes rates ZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Social Changes pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.5 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Social Changes's average ranking is 9.5.
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