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Poland Pollster: Poll for Poland's Parliamentary Election, 17 July 2026

Strongest Force
KO
7.1 points ahead of PiS
Government Majority
No Majority
198 of 460 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2027
estimated

Poland: Latest Voting Intention Poll for Parliamentary Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Pollster: Poll for Poland's Parliamentary Election, Fieldwork Concluded 17 July 2026.

Changes since the last election on 15 October 2023

KO
32.5
+1.8
PiS
25.4
+25.4
Kon
14.3
+7.1
7.6
-1.0
KKP
7.3
+7.3
6.1
+6.1
4.0
+4.0
PSL
2.2
+2.2
Other
0.6
Institute
Pollster
Survey Period
16/07/2026 – 17/07/2026
Respondents
1,021
Poland's Current Government Falls Short of Majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 43.0% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Pollster?

A recent voting intention poll for Poland by Pollster indicates KO leads with 32.5%, followed by PiS with 25.4%, Kon with 14.3%, Lewica with 7.6%, KKP with 7.3%, Razem with 6.1%, PL2050 with 4% and PSL with 2.2%. Other parties achieve 0.6% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Pollster: how reliable is the projection?

62 PolitPro Score Rank 1 of 13 in Poland
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 52.1
Avg. deviation in elections
2.2 pp

2 election comparisons

Recorded polls
85

Last on 2 September 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
231
0 460
Majority 231

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

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Pollster: Projected composition of parliament

This poll indicates that 6 parties would surpass the electoral threshold, securing seats in Poland's parliament: KO with 161 seats, PiS with 126 seats, Kon with 70 seats, Lewica with 37 seats, KKP with 36 seats and Razem with 30 seats.

Understanding Poland's Electoral System

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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