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Poland United Surveys: Poll for Poland's Parliamentary Election, 17 July 2026

Strongest Force
KO
10.9 points ahead of PiS
Government Majority
No Majority
217 of 460 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2027
estimated

Poland: Latest Voting Intention Poll for Parliamentary Election

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. United Surveys: Poll for Poland's Parliamentary Election, Fieldwork Concluded 17 July 2026.

Changes since the last election on 15 October 2023

KO
31.2
+0.5
PiS
20.3
+20.3
Kon
12.9
+5.7
KKP
11.7
+11.7
8.9
+0.3
PSL
4.1
+4.1
2.7
+2.7
0.6
+0.6
Other
6.9
Institute
United Surveys
Survey Period
16/07/2026 – 17/07/2026
Respondents
1,000
Poland's Current Government Falls Short of Majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 47.2% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by United Surveys?

A recent voting intention poll for Poland by United Surveys indicates KO leads with 31.2%, followed by PiS with 20.3%, Kon with 12.9%, KKP with 11.7%, Lewica with 8.9%, PSL with 4.1%, Razem with 2.7% and PL2050 with 0.6%. Other parties achieve 6.9% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

United Surveys: how reliable is the projection?

49 PolitPro Score Rank 10 of 13 in Poland
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 52.2
Avg. deviation in elections
3.3 pp

2 election comparisons

Recorded polls
145

Last on 6 September 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
231
0 460
Majority 231

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

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United Surveys: Projected composition of parliament

This poll indicates that 5 parties would surpass the electoral threshold, securing seats in Poland's parliament: KO with 169 seats, PiS with 110 seats, Kon with 70 seats, KKP with 63 seats and Lewica with 48 seats.

Understanding Poland's Electoral System

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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