2 election comparisons
Poland United Surveys: election poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from 9 August 2026
Voting intention poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland
The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. United Surveys: single poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland, fieldwork ended 9 August 2026.
Changes since the last election on 15 October 2023
- Institute
- United Surveys
- Survey Period
- 07/08/2026 – 09/08/2026
- Respondents
- 1,000
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 42.0% of the parliamentary seats.
Who is leading according to the poll by United Surveys?
Who is leading according to the poll by United Surveys?
A recent voting intention poll for Poland by United Surveys indicates KO leads with 32%, followed by PiS with 19.8%, Kon with 11.8%, KKP with 10.7%, Lewica with 8%, Rozwój Plus with 7.6%, PSL with 5.4%, Razem with 3.9% and PL2050 with 0.7%. Other parties achieve 0.1% of the votes.
What do the symbols mean?
What do the symbols mean?
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
- Far-Left
- Left
- Centre-Left
- Center
- Transversal
- Unknown
- Centre-Right
- Right
- Far-Right
- Liberal
- Environment & Climate
- Regional
- Animal Welfare
- Satire
Seat projection based on this poll
Last on 6 September 2026
Deviations from the Election Trend
What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?
What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll
Parties
Select parties to test coalitions.
Scenarios: What if...?
Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.
PolitPro Analysis
Probability of an Absolute Majority
-
KO
<1%
-
PiS
0%
-
Kon
0%
Probability of Election Victory
-
KO
100%
-
PiS
<1%
-
Kon
0%
-
KKP
<1%
-
R+
<1%
-
Razem
<1%
Probability of Entering Parliament
-
Lewica
97%
-
R+
96%
-
PSL
63%
-
Razem
16%
-
PL2050
<1%
How does the PolitPro Analysis work?
How does the PolitPro Analysis work?
Election polls are not predictions, but snapshots with statistical fluctuations. To obtain a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we include typical voter migration and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from small shifts within camps to political surprises – to determine the actual chances of success for parties and coalitions.
United Surveys: Projected composition of parliament
United Surveys: Projected composition of parliament
Based on this poll, 7 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter the parliament of Poland: KO with 155 seats, PiS with 96 seats, Kon with 57 seats, KKP with 52 seats, Lewica with 38 seats, Rozwój Plus with 36 seats and PSL with 26 seats.
Understanding Poland's Electoral System
Understanding Poland's Electoral System
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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles
Electoral Threshold and Hurdles
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Government formation and coalition traditions
Government formation and coalition traditions
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