Poland: Poll by PGB Opinium from 10.12.2020

Polling data

PiS
33.7
-1.5
KO
23.8
-3.8
PL2050
13.6
-0.2
Razem
9.0
+0.1
Kon
5.9
-4.2
PSL
4.8
+4.8
K'15
0.7
+0.7
Sonst.
8.5
+4.1
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PGB Opinium – 1100 respondents – 09.12.2020-10.12.2020
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 47% of election polls, PGB Opinium rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from PGB Opinium shows the following results: PiS 33.7%, KO 23.8%, PL2050 13.6%, Razem 9%, Kon 5.9%, PSL 4.8% and Kukiz’15 0.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with -1.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 27.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by PGB Opinium. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (09.12.2020 - 10.12.2020).

Coalition possibilities

460
Razem
48
PL2050
73
KO
127
PiS
181
Kon
31
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
308
PiS + PL2050
254
KO + PL2050 + Kon
231

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by PGB Opinium. The survey took place between 09.12.2020 and 10.12.2020 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 33.7%, KO 23.8%, PL2050 13.6%, Razem 9%, Kon 5.9%, PSL 4.8% and Kukiz’15 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.