Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by IBSP from 26.01.2021

Polling data

PL2050
27.7
+27.7
PiS
27.0
+27.0
KO
20.2
-10.7
Kon
11.0
+1.2
Lewica
7.6
-1.3
PSL
2.6
+2.6
Sonst.
3.9
-46.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PL2050
PiS
KO
-10.5
Kon
+3.8
Lewica
-1.0
PSL
IBSP – 1001 respondents – 25.01.2021-26.01.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates KO higher
In 36% of election polls, IBSP rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 52% of election polls, IBSP rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica lower
In 36% of election polls IBSP rates Lewica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 higher
In 79% of election polls, IBSP rates PL2050 higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 92% of election polls IBSP rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBSP shows the following results: PL2050 27.7%, PiS 27%, KO 20.2%, Kon 11%, Lewica 7.6% and PSL 2.6%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.8 growth since the last election. PL2050, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 29.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IBSP. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (25.01.2021 - 26.01.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
37
PL2050
137
KO
99
PiS
133
Kon
54
Majority requires 231 seats
PL2050 + PiS
270
PL2050 + KO
236
PiS + KO
232
PL2050 + Kon + Lewica
228

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBSP. The survey took place between 25.01.2021 and 26.01.2021 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PL2050 27.7%, PiS 27%, KO 20.2%, Kon 11%, Lewica 7.6% and PSL 2.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.