Poland: Poll by PGB Opinium from 12.03.2021

Polling data

Development since the last election on 13.10.2019
PGB Opinium – 1098 respondents – 10.03.2021-12.03.2021

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from PGB Opinium shows the following results: PiS 32.3%, PL2050 23.2%, KO 20.2%, Lewica 9.3%, Kon 8.9%, PSL 4.4% and Kukiz’15 1.2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mateusz Morawiecki is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from PiS. With 34.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by PGB Opinium. For this purpose, 1098 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.03.2021 - 12.03.2021).

Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2023.

Coalition possibilities

PiS + PL2050
PL2050 + KO + Lewica
PiS + KO
Government might not stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 34.4% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by PGB Opinium. The survey took place between 10.03.2021 and 12.03.2021 among 1098 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 32.3%, PL2050 23.2%, KO 20.2%, Lewica 9.3%, Kon 8.9%, PSL 4.4% and Kukiz’15 1.2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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