Poland
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Elections

Poland: Poll by PGB Opinium from 12.03.2021

Polling data

PiS
32.3
-1.6
PL2050
23.2
+0.8
KO
20.2
-0.5
Lewica
9.3
+1.1
Kon
8.9
±0.0
PSL
4.4
-0.9
K'15
1.2
+0.7
Sonst.
0.5
+0.0
Development since the last election on 13.10.2019
PiS
PL2050
KO
-7.2
Lewica
-3.3
Kon
+2.1
PSL
-4.2
K'15
PGB Opinium – 1098 respondents – 10.03.2021-12.03.2021
Next election: 15.10.2023
The next general election in Poland will be held in 23.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 31% of election polls PGB Opinium rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 46% of election polls, PGB Opinium rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from PGB Opinium shows the following results: PiS 32.3%, PL2050 23.2%, KO 20.2%, Lewica 9.3%, Kon 8.9%, PSL 4.4% and Kukiz’15 1.2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mateusz Morawiecki is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from PiS. With 34.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by PGB Opinium. For this purpose, 1098 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (10.03.2021 - 12.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

PiS + PL2050
59.1
PL2050 + KO + Lewica
56.1
PiS + KO
55.9

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by PGB Opinium. The survey took place between 10.03.2021 and 12.03.2021 among 1098 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 32.3%, PL2050 23.2%, KO 20.2%, Lewica 9.3%, Kon 8.9%, PSL 4.4% and Kukiz’15 1.2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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