Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by United Surveys from 11.05.2021

Polling data

PiS
37.2
-1.2
PL2050
24.3
+2.2
KO
13.4
-3.0
Lewica
10.7
-0.6
Kon
9.5
+3.3
PSL
4.8
-0.7
Sonst.
0.1
0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
PL2050
KO
-17.3
Lewica
+2.1
Kon
+2.3
PSL
United Surveys – 1000 respondents – 11.05.2021-11.05.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 37% of election polls United Surveys rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 34% of election polls, United Surveys rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 59% of election polls, United Surveys rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 41% of election polls United Surveys rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 71% of election polls, United Surveys rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from United Surveys shows the following results: PiS 37.2%, PL2050 24.3%, KO 13.4%, Lewica 10.7%, Kon 9.5% and PSL 4.8%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 25.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by United Surveys. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (11.05.2021 - 11.05.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
52
PL2050
118
KO
64
PiS
180
Kon
46
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + PL2050
298
PiS + KO
244
PL2050 + KO + Lewica
234
PiS + Lewica
232
PL2050 + KO + Kon
228
PiS + Kon
226

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by United Surveys. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 11.05.2021 1000. After this election poll would get PiS 37.2%, PL2050 24.3%, KO 13.4%, Lewica 10.7%, Kon 9.5% and PSL 4.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.