Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar from 12.05.2021

Polling data

PiS
38.0
+6.0
KO
24.0
+5.0
PL2050
20.0
-1.0
Lewica
7.0
-3.0
Kon
6.0
-5.0
PSL
3.0
-1.0
K'15
2.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-6.7
PL2050
Lewica
-1.6
Kon
-1.2
PSL
K'15
Kantar – 984 respondents – 07.05.2021-12.05.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar shows the following results: PiS 38%, KO 24%, PL2050 20%, Lewica 7%, Kon 6%, PSL 3% and Kukiz’15 2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with -1.2 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 32.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 984 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (07.05.2021 - 12.05.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
34
PL2050
97
KO
116
PiS
184
Kon
29
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
300
PiS + PL2050
281
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
247
PiS + Lewica + Kon
247
KO + PL2050 + Kon
242

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 07.05.2021 and 12.05.2021 among 984 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 38%, KO 24%, PL2050 20%, Lewica 7%, Kon 6%, PSL 3% and Kukiz’15 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.