Poland: Poll by UCE Research from 16.05.2021

Polling data

PiS
35.7
±0.0
PL2050
20.5
±0.0
KO
17.3
±0.0
Kon
9.7
±0.0
K'15
6.4
±0.0
Lewica
5.6
±0.0
PSL
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
1.8
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
UCE Research – 1122 respondents – 15.05.2021-16.05.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from UCE Research shows the following results: PiS 35.7%, PL2050 20.5%, KO 17.3%, Kon 9.7%, Kukiz’15 6.4%, Lewica 5.6% and PSL 3%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 24.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by UCE Research. For this purpose, 1122 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (15.05.2021 - 16.05.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
27
PL2050
99
KO
84
PiS
173
Kon
47
K'15
30
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + PL2050
272
PL2050 + KO + Kon + Lewica
PiS + KO
257
PiS + Kon + Kukiz’15
250
PiS + Kon + Lewica
247
PL2050 + KO + Kon
230

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by UCE Research. The survey took place between 15.05.2021 and 16.05.2021 among 1122 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 35.7%, PL2050 20.5%, KO 17.3%, Kon 9.7%, Kukiz’15 6.4%, Lewica 5.6% and PSL 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.