Poland: Poll by Estymator from 06.11.2021

Polling data

PiS
37.6
-2.6
KO
24.6
+0.5
PL2050
12.8
+1.9
Lewica
9.1
+0.1
Kon
8.2
-0.6
PSL
5.7
+1.8
Sonst.
2.0
-1.1
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
Estymator – 1016 respondents – 05.11.2021-06.11.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 42% of election polls Estymator rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 50% of election polls, Estymator rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 74% of election polls, Estymator rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 67% of election polls Estymator rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 61% of election polls, Estymator rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Estymator shows the following results: PiS 37.6%, KO 24.6%, PL2050 12.8%, Lewica 9.1%, Kon 8.2% and PSL 5.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.0 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 34.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Estymator. For this purpose, 1016 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (05.11.2021 - 06.11.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
43
PL2050
60
KO
116
PSL
26
PiS
177
Kon
38
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
293
PiS + Lewica + Kon
258
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + Kon
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + PSL
PiS + Kon + PSL
241
KO + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
PiS + PL2050
237

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Estymator. The survey took place between 05.11.2021 and 06.11.2021 among 1016 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 37.6%, KO 24.6%, PL2050 12.8%, Lewica 9.1%, Kon 8.2% and PSL 5.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.