Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Pollster from 12.12.2021

Polling data

PiS
36.4
-1.1
KO
25.8
+1.5
PL2050
14.6
-1.1
Kon
10.7
+2.7
Lewica
6.2
-1.8
PSL
4.4
-0.1
K'15
1.4
+0.4
Sonst.
0.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-4.9
PL2050
Kon
+3.5
Lewica
-2.4
PSL
K'15
Pollster – 1046 respondents – 11.12.2021-12.12.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 33% of election polls Pollster rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 35% of election polls, Pollster rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Pollster shows the following results: PiS 36.4%, KO 25.8%, PL2050 14.6%, Kon 10.7%, Lewica 6.2%, PSL 4.4% and Kukiz’15 1.4%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 34.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Pollster. For this purpose, 1046 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (11.12.2021 - 12.12.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
30
PL2050
72
KO
127
PiS
179
Kon
52
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
306
KO + PL2050 + Kon
251
PiS + PL2050
251
PiS + Kon
231
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
229

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Pollster. The survey took place between 11.12.2021 and 12.12.2021 among 1046 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 36.4%, KO 25.8%, PL2050 14.6%, Kon 10.7%, Lewica 6.2%, PSL 4.4% and Kukiz’15 1.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.