Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar from 12.12.2021

Polling data

PiS
29.0
-5.0
KO
23.0
-3.0
PL2050
18.0
+3.0
Lewica
11.0
+4.0
Kon
8.0
±0.0
PSL
5.0
-2.0
K'15
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
4.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-7.7
PL2050
Lewica
+2.4
Kon
+0.8
PSL
K'15
Kantar – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 08.12.2021-12.12.2021
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar shows the following results: PiS 29%, KO 23%, PL2050 18%, Lewica 11%, Kon 8%, PSL 5% and Kukiz’15 2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 36.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (08.12.2021 - 12.12.2021).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
54
PL2050
88
KO
113
PSL
24
PiS
142
Kon
39
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
284
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
269
PiS + KO
255
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
255
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
254
KO + PL2050 + Kon
240
PiS + Lewica + Kon
235
PiS + PL2050
230

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar. The poll took place between 08.12.2021 and 12.12.2021. It is not known how many people were polled. After this election poll would get PiS 29%, KO 23%, PL2050 18%, Lewica 11%, Kon 8%, PSL 5% and Kukiz’15 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.