Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 01.03.2022

Polling data

PiS
42.8
+42.8
KO
26.1
-6.9
PL2050
12.5
+2.8
Lewica
8.2
+1.9
PSL
5.6
+0.8
Kon
4.7
-4.8
Sonst.
0.1
-36.6
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-4.6
PL2050
Lewica
-0.4
PSL
Kon
-2.5
IBRiS – 1100 respondents – 01.03.2022-01.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 30% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 43% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 53% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 41% of election polls IBRiS rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 54% of election polls, IBRiS rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 42.8%, KO 26.1%, PL2050 12.5%, Lewica 8.2%, PSL 5.6% and Kon 4.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with -0.4 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 36.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (01.03.2022 - 01.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
39
PL2050
60
KO
126
PSL
27
PiS
208
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
334
PiS + PL2050
268
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + PSL
252
PiS + Lewica
247
PiS + PSL
235
PiS
208

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 01.03.2022 1100. After this election poll would get PiS 42.8%, KO 26.1%, PL2050 12.5%, Lewica 8.2%, PSL 5.6% and Kon 4.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.