Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Pollster from 03.03.2022

Polling data

ZP
38.0
+2.0
KO
25.9
+1.4
PL2050
13.1
-1.2
Kon
7.7
-1.4
Lewica
6.6
-1.7
PSL
6.0
+0.2
K'15
1.6
+0.4
P
0.8
+0.2
Sonst.
0.3
+0.1
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+2.6
KO
-4.8
PL2050
Kon
+0.5
Lewica
-2.0
PSL
K'15
P
Pollster – 1041 respondents – 02.03.2022-03.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 33% of election polls Pollster rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 65% of election polls Pollster rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Pollster shows the following results: ZP 38%, KO 25.9%, PL2050 13.1%, Kon 7.7%, Lewica 6.6%, PSL 6%, Kukiz’15 1.6% and Porozumienie 0.8%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 33.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Pollster. For this purpose, 1041 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (02.03.2022 - 03.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
31
PL2050
62
KO
123
PSL
28
ZP
180
Kon
36
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
303
KO + PL2050 + Kon + Lewica
252
KO + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
249
ZP + Kon + Lewica
247
ZP + Kon + PSL
244
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + PSL
244
ZP + PL2050
242

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Pollster. The survey took place between 02.03.2022 and 03.03.2022 among 1041 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 38%, KO 25.9%, PL2050 13.1%, Kon 7.7%, Lewica 6.6%, PSL 6%, Kukiz’15 1.6% and Porozumienie 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.