Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 04.05.2022

Polling data

PiS
39.9
+0.9
KO
29.3
-1.1
Lewica
10.0
+0.3
PL2050
9.6
-0.6
PSL
5.7
+0.1
Kon
5.6
+0.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
IBRiS – 1100 respondents – 04.05.2022-04.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 30% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 42% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 52% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 41% of election polls IBRiS rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 54% of election polls, IBRiS rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 39.9%, KO 29.3%, Lewica 10%, PL2050 9.6%, PSL 5.7% and Kon 5.6%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 39.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (04.05.2022 - 04.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
46
PL2050
44
KO
135
PSL
26
PiS
184
Kon
25
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
319
PiS + Lewica + PL2050
274
PiS + Lewica + Kon
255
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
254
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
253
KO + Lewica + PL2050 + PSL
KO + Lewica + PL2050 + Kon
PiS + PSL + Kon
235
KO + PL2050 + PSL + Kon
PiS + Lewica
230
PiS + PL2050
228

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 04.05.2022 1100. After this election poll would get PiS 39.9%, KO 29.3%, Lewica 10%, PL2050 9.6%, PSL 5.7% and Kon 5.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.