Poland
Election trend
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Elections

Poland: Poll by United Surveys from 21.05.2022

Polling data

ZP
40.3
+2.0
KO
28.0
-1.9
Lewica
10.2
+0.2
PL2050
9.3
-1.0
PSL
6.3
+0.8
Kon
5.8
-0.2
Sonst.
0.1
0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+4.9
KO
-2.7
Lewica
+1.6
PL2050
PSL
Kon
-1.4
United Surveys – 1000 respondents – 20.05.2022-21.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 39% of election polls United Surveys rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 35% of election polls, United Surveys rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 41% of election polls United Surveys rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 71% of election polls, United Surveys rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP higher
In 30% of election polls, United Surveys rates ZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from United Surveys shows the following results: ZP 40.3%, KO 28%, Lewica 10.2%, PL2050 9.3%, PSL 6.3% and Kon 5.8%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mateusz Morawiecki is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from PiS. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by United Surveys. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (20.05.2022 - 21.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

ZP + KO
68.3
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
55.9
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
55.4
KO + Lewica + PL2050 + PSL
53.8
KO + Lewica + PL2050 + Kon
53.3
ZP + PSL + Kon
52.4
ZP + Lewica
50.5
ZP + PL2050
49.6
KO + PL2050 + PSL + Kon
49.4

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.pl was conducted by United Surveys. The survey took place between 20.05.2022 and 21.05.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 40.3%, KO 28%, Lewica 10.2%, PL2050 9.3%, PSL 6.3% and Kon 5.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.