Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 18.05.2022

Polling data

ZP
35.0
+35.0
KO
29.0
-1.0
PL2050
11.0
-6.0
Lewica
10.0
+4.0
Kon
5.0
-2.0
K'15
4.0
+3.0
PSL
4.0
+2.0
P
2.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
-0.4
KO
-1.7
PL2050
Lewica
+1.4
Kon
-2.2
K'15
PSL
P
Kantar Public – 990 respondents – 13.05.2022-18.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: ZP 35%, KO 29%, PL2050 11%, Lewica 10%, Kon 5%, Kukiz’15 4%, PSL 4% and Porozumienie 2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Kon, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 43.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 990 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (13.05.2022 - 18.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
51
PL2050
56
KO
148
ZP
180
Kon
25
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
328
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
255
ZP + PL2050
236
ZP + Lewica
231
KO + PL2050 + Kon
229

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 13.05.2022 and 18.05.2022 among 990 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 35%, KO 29%, PL2050 11%, Lewica 10%, Kon 5%, Kukiz’15 4%, PSL 4% and Porozumienie 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.