Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 05.07.2022

Polling data

PiS
38.2
+38.2
KO
28.5
-0.4
PL2050
11.1
+0.2
Lewica
9.6
±0.0
Kon
6.8
+1.5
PSL
5.8
-0.5
Development since the last election on 13.10.2019
IBRiS – 1100 respondents – 05.07.2022-05.07.2022
Next election: 15.10.2023
The next general election in Poland will be held in 13.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 30% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 42% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PiS higher
In 48% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 42% of election polls IBRiS rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 53% of election polls, IBRiS rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 38.2%, KO 28.5%, PL2050 11.1%, Lewica 9.6%, Kon 6.8% and PSL 5.8%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mateusz Morawiecki is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from PiS. With 38.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (05.07.2022 - 05.07.2022).

Coalition possibilities

PiS + KO
66.7
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
55.1
KO + PL2050 + Lewica + PSL
PiS + Lewica + Kon
54.6
PiS + PL2050
49.3
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
49.2

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 05.07.2022 1100. After this election poll would get PiS 38.2%, KO 28.5%, PL2050 11.1%, Lewica 9.6%, Kon 6.8% and PSL 5.8%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.