Poland: Poll by Ariadna from 20.08.2019

Polling data

ZP
45.0
±0.0
KO
27.0
±0.0
Lewica
10.0
±0.0
KP
6.0
±0.0
Kon
4.0
±0.0
Sonst.
8.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
Ariadna – 1036 respondents – 16.08.2019-20.08.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Ariadna shows the following results: ZP 45%, KO 27%, Lewica 10%, KP 6% and Kon 4%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 42.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ariadna. For this purpose, 1036 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (16.08.2019 - 20.08.2019).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
52
KO
141
KP
31
ZP
236
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP
236
KO + Lewica
193
Lewica
52

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ariadna. The survey took place between 16.08.2019 and 20.08.2019 among 1036 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 45%, KO 27%, Lewica 10%, KP 6% and Kon 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.