Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Millward Brown from 05.10.2019

Polling data

ZP
42.0
-1.0
KO
29.0
-1.0
Lewica
13.0
+2.0
Kon
5.0
±0.0
KP
4.0
±0.0
BS
1.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+6.6
KO
-1.7
Lewica
+4.4
Kon
-2.2
KP
BS
-0.6
Kantar Millward Brown – 1005 respondents – 01.10.2019-05.10.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Millward Brown shows the following results: ZP 42%, KO 29%, Lewica 13%, Kon 5%, KP 4% and BS 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. Kon, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 47.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Millward Brown. For this purpose, 1005 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (01.10.2019 - 05.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
67
KO
150
ZP
218
Kon
25
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
368
ZP + Lewica
285
ZP + Kon
243
KO + Lewica + Kon
242
ZP
218

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Millward Brown. The survey took place between 01.10.2019 and 05.10.2019 among 1005 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 42%, KO 29%, Lewica 13%, Kon 5%, KP 4% and BS 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.