Poland: Poll by IBSP from 11.10.2019

Polling data

ZP
42.1
-3.5
KO
27.0
-3.9
Lewica
15.7
+3.4
Kon
8.6
+2.3
KP
6.3
+2.1
Sonst.
0.3
-0.4
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
IBSP – 1002 respondents – 10.10.2019-11.10.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates KO higher
In 36% of election polls, IBSP rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 52% of election polls, IBSP rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica lower
In 36% of election polls IBSP rates Lewica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBSP shows the following results: ZP 42.1%, KO 27%, Lewica 15.7%, Kon 8.6% and KP 6.3%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.1 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 42.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by IBSP. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (10.10.2019 - 11.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
72
KO
125
KP
29
ZP
195
Kon
39
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
320
ZP + Lewica
267
KO + Lewica + Kon
236
ZP + Kon
234

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBSP. The survey took place between 10.10.2019 and 11.10.2019 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 42.1%, KO 27%, Lewica 15.7%, Kon 8.6% and KP 6.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.