Polling data
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
IBRiS – 1100 respondents – 11.10.2019-11.10.2019
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 30% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 43% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results
Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: ZP 42%, KO 22.3%, Lewica 14%, KP 5.9% and Kon 4.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.
Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 43.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.
The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (11.10.2019 - 11.10.2019).
Coalition possibilities
460
Lewica
76
KO
122
KP
32
ZP
230
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
ZP + Lewica
ZP
Frequently asked questions about election polls
Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. Eligible voters were surveyed for this on 11.10.2019 1100. After this election poll would get ZP 42%, KO 22.3%, Lewica 14%, KP 5.9% and Kon 4.7%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.