Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 08.09.2022

Polling data

PiS
35.0
-2.0
KO
28.0
±0.0
PL2050
13.0
±0.0
Lewica
9.0
-1.0
Kon
7.0
±0.0
PSL
5.0
+1.0
AU
2.0
+2.0
Sonst.
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-2.7
PL2050
Lewica
+0.4
Kon
-0.2
PSL
AU
Ipsos – 1009 respondents – 06.09.2022-08.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: PiS 35%, KO 28%, PL2050 13%, Lewica 9%, Kon 7%, PSL 5% and AGROunia 2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.4 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 38.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1009 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (06.09.2022 - 08.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
43
PL2050
61
KO
133
PSL
24
PiS
166
Kon
33
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
299
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
270
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
260
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
251
KO + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
251
PiS + Lewica + Kon
242
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
237
PiS + PL2050
227
KO + PL2050 + Kon
227

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 06.09.2022 and 08.09.2022 among 1009 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 35%, KO 28%, PL2050 13%, Lewica 9%, Kon 7%, PSL 5% and AGROunia 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.