Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 09.09.2022

Polling data

PiS
34.0
+3.0
KO
32.0
±0.0
PL2050
9.0
±0.0
Lewica
8.0
-1.0
Kon
7.0
±0.0
K'15
4.0
±0.0
PSL
4.0
-2.0
AU
1.0
±0.0
P
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
+1.3
PL2050
Lewica
-0.6
Kon
-0.2
K'15
PSL
AU
P
Kantar Public – 980 respondents – 02.09.2022-09.09.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: PiS 34%, KO 32%, PL2050 9%, Lewica 8%, Kon 7%, Kukiz’15 4%, PSL 4%, AGROunia 1% and Porozumienie 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 44.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 980 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (02.09.2022 - 09.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
41
PL2050
46
KO
164
PiS
174
Kon
35
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
338
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
261
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
255
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
251
PiS + Lewica + Kon
250
KO + PL2050 + Kon
245
KO + Lewica + Kon
240

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 02.09.2022 and 09.09.2022 among 980 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 34%, KO 32%, PL2050 9%, Lewica 8%, Kon 7%, Kukiz’15 4%, PSL 4%, AGROunia 1% and Porozumienie 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.