Poland
Election trend
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Elections

Poland: Poll by Estymator from 14.10.2022

Polling data

ZP
37.1
+1.2
KO
27.7
+0.9
Lewica
10.7
-0.3
PL2050
10.1
-2.1
PSL
6.8
+0.3
Kon
5.7
-0.4
K'15
1.6
+0.3
Sonst.
0.3
+0.0
Development since the last election on 13.10.2019
ZP
-6.5
KO
+0.3
Lewica
-1.9
PL2050
PSL
-1.8
Kon
-1.1
K'15
Estymator – 1033 respondents – 13.10.2022-14.10.2022
Next election: 15.10.2023
The next general election in Poland will be held in 23.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 43% of election polls Estymator rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 54% of election polls, Estymator rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 67% of election polls Estymator rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 61% of election polls, Estymator rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP higher
In 35% of election polls, Estymator rates ZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Estymator shows the following results: ZP 37.1%, KO 27.7%, Lewica 10.7%, PL2050 10.1%, PSL 6.8%, Kon 5.7% and Kukiz’15 1.6%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.3 growth since the last election. ZP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mateusz Morawiecki is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from PiS. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Estymator. For this purpose, 1033 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (13.10.2022 - 14.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

ZP + KO
66.0
KO + Lewica + PL2050 + PSL
56.3
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
55.0
ZP + Lewica + Kon
54.5
KO + Lewica + PL2050
49.4

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Estymator. The survey took place between 13.10.2022 and 14.10.2022 among 1033 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 37.1%, KO 27.7%, Lewica 10.7%, PL2050 10.1%, PSL 6.8%, Kon 5.7% and Kukiz’15 1.6%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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