Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Research Partner from 17.10.2022

Polling data

ZP
33.5
-7.0
KO
28.4
+0.1
PL2050
11.8
+3.1
Kon
8.2
+1.9
PSL
7.4
+3.2
Lewica
7.1
-2.0
K'15
2.0
+0.2
P
0.7
-0.1
Sonst.
0.9
+0.6
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
-1.9
KO
-2.3
PL2050
Kon
+1.0
PSL
Lewica
-1.5
K'15
P
Research Partner – 1081 respondents – 14.10.2022-17.10.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 38% of election polls Research Partner rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 30% of election polls Research Partner rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Research Partner shows the following results: ZP 33.5%, KO 28.4%, PL2050 11.8%, Kon 8.2%, PSL 7.4%, Lewica 7.1%, Kukiz’15 2% and Porozumienie 0.7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.0 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 36.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Research Partner. For this purpose, 1081 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (14.10.2022 - 17.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
34
PL2050
56
KO
136
PSL
35
ZP
160
Kon
39
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
296
KO + PL2050 + PSL + Lewica
261
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
255
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
251
ZP + PL2050 + Lewica
250
ZP + Kon + PSL
234
ZP + Kon + Lewica
233
KO + PL2050 + Kon
231
KO + PL2050 + PSL
227
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
226

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Research Partner. The survey took place between 14.10.2022 and 17.10.2022 among 1081 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 33.5%, KO 28.4%, PL2050 11.8%, Kon 8.2%, PSL 7.4%, Lewica 7.1%, Kukiz’15 2% and Porozumienie 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.