Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 09.11.2022

Polling data

PiS
35.0
+3.0
KO
33.0
-3.0
PL2050
11.0
±0.0
Lewica
8.0
±0.0
Kon
5.0
-1.0
PSL
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
+2.3
PL2050
Lewica
-0.6
Kon
-2.2
PSL
Kantar Public – 975 respondents – 04.11.2022-09.11.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: PiS 35%, KO 33%, PL2050 11%, Lewica 8%, Kon 5% and PSL 5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 42.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 975 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.11.2022 - 09.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
37
PL2050
52
KO
157
PSL
24
PiS
166
Kon
24
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
323
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
255
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
246
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
242
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
242
KO + PL2050 + PSL
233
KO + PL2050 + Kon
233
PiS + Lewica + Kon
227

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 04.11.2022 and 09.11.2022 among 975 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 35%, KO 33%, PL2050 11%, Lewica 8%, Kon 5% and PSL 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.