Poland
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Elections

Poland: Poll by Estymator from 25.11.2022

Polling data

ZP
35.7
-0.2
KO
28.4
+0.7
Lewica
11.2
±0.0
PL2050
10.4
-1.2
PSL
7.4
+0.5
Kon
5.1
+0.3
K'15
1.5
+0.1
Sonst.
0.3
0.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+0.3
KO
-2.3
Lewica
+2.6
PL2050
PSL
Kon
-2.1
K'15
Estymator – 1041 respondents – 24.11.2022-25.11.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 42% of election polls Estymator rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 50% of election polls, Estymator rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050 lower
In 67% of election polls Estymator rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PSL higher
In 61% of election polls, Estymator rates PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP higher
In 33% of election polls, Estymator rates ZP higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Estymator shows the following results: ZP 35.7%, KO 28.4%, Lewica 11.2%, PL2050 10.4%, PSL 7.4%, Kon 5.1% and Kukiz’15 1.5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Mateusz Morawiecki is currently governing with a Right-wing coalition from PiS. With 0.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Estymator. For this purpose, 1041 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (24.11.2022 - 25.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

ZP + KO
65.3
ZP + Lewica + PL2050
58.4
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
54.5
ZP + Lewica + Kon
53.0
KO + PL2050 + PSL + Kon
52.2
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
52.2
KO + Lewica + PL2050
50.9
ZP + PSL + Kon
49.1

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.pl was conducted by Estymator. The survey took place between 24.11.2022 and 25.11.2022 among 1041 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 35.7%, KO 28.4%, Lewica 11.2%, PL2050 10.4%, PSL 7.4%, Kon 5.1% and Kukiz’15 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.