Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar from 15.12.2022

Polling data

ZP
34.0
+1.0
KO
33.0
+3.0
PL2050
12.0
-3.0
Kon
10.0
+1.0
Lewica
6.0
-2.0
PSL
3.0
+1.0
K'15
1.0
±0.0
AU
1.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
-1.4
KO
+2.3
PL2050
Kon
+2.8
Lewica
-2.6
PSL
K'15
AU
Kantar – 1001 respondents – 09.12.2022-15.12.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar shows the following results: ZP 34%, KO 33%, PL2050 12%, Kon 10%, Lewica 6%, PSL 3%, Kukiz’15 1% and AGROunia 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. Lewica, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 41.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1001 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (09.12.2022 - 15.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
29
PL2050
58
KO
160
ZP
165
Kon
48
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
325
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
271
KO + PL2050 + Kon
266
ZP + PL2050 + Lewica
252
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
247
ZP + Kon + Lewica
242
KO + Kon + Lewica
237

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 09.12.2022 and 15.12.2022 among 1001 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 34%, KO 33%, PL2050 12%, Kon 10%, Lewica 6%, PSL 3%, Kukiz’15 1% and AGROunia 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.