Poland: Poll by Pollster from 20.12.2022

Polling data

ZP
31.2
-1.3
KO
29.9
-0.5
Lewica
12.1
+1.3
PL2050
12.1
+0.5
Kon
7.9
-0.8
PSL
5.2
+1.3
P
1.1
+0.3
K'15
1.0
+0.1
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
Pollster – :sample_size respondent count unknown – 20.12.2022-20.12.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Respondent number unknown
No information on the number of respondents is available for this poll.
Institute often rates KO lower
In 31% of election polls Pollster rates KO lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 65% of election polls Pollster rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Pollster shows the following results: ZP 31.2%, KO 29.9%, Lewica 12.1%, PL2050 12.1%, Kon 7.9%, PSL 5.2%, Porozumienie 1.1% and Kukiz’15 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. ZP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 42.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Pollster. For this purpose, 0 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (20.12.2022 - 20.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
57
PL2050
56
KO
140
PSL
24
ZP
146
Kon
37
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
286
ZP + Lewica + PL2050
259
KO + Lewica + PL2050
253
ZP + Lewica + Kon
240
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
239
KO + Lewica + Kon
234
KO + PL2050 + Kon
233
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
226

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Pollster. The poll was conducted on 20.12.2022 - the number of respondents is unknown. After this election poll would get ZP 31.2%, KO 29.9%, Lewica 12.1%, PL2050 12.1%, Kon 7.9%, PSL 5.2%, Porozumienie 1.1% and Kukiz’15 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.