Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 23.01.2023

Polling data

PiS
36.0
+36.0
KO
36.0
+36.0
Lewica
9.0
+9.0
PL2050
9.0
+9.0
Kon
6.0
+6.0
PSL
2.0
+2.0
K'15
1.0
+1.0
Sonst.
1.0
-99.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
+5.3
Lewica
+0.4
PL2050
Kon
-1.2
PSL
K'15
Kantar Public – 983 respondents – 18.01.2023-23.01.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: PiS 36%, KO 36%, Lewica 9%, PL2050 9%, Kon 6%, PSL 2% and Kukiz’15 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 46.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 983 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (18.01.2023 - 23.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
43
PL2050
43
KO
172
PiS
173
Kon
29
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
345
PiS + Lewica + PL2050
259
KO + Lewica + PL2050
258
PiS + Lewica + Kon
245
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
245
KO + Lewica + Kon
244
KO + PL2050 + Kon
244

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 18.01.2023 and 23.01.2023 among 983 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 36%, KO 36%, Lewica 9%, PL2050 9%, Kon 6%, PSL 2% and Kukiz’15 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.