Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by PGB Opinium from 18.02.2023

Polling data

PiS
34.8
+0.8
KO
30.9
+1.3
PL2050
10.3
-2.2
Lewica
7.9
-0.6
Kon
7.3
+1.0
PSL
5.0
+0.8
BS
2.0
+2.0
AU
1.1
-1.9
Sonst.
0.7
-1.2
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
+0.2
PL2050
Lewica
-0.7
Kon
+0.1
PSL
BS
+0.4
AU
PGB Opinium – 1100 respondents – 15.02.2023-18.02.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon higher
In 47% of election polls, PGB Opinium rates Kon higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from PGB Opinium shows the following results: PiS 34.8%, KO 30.9%, PL2050 10.3%, Lewica 7.9%, Kon 7.3%, PSL 5%, BS 2% and AGROunia 1.1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, BS might gain the most in voter favorability with +0.4 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 40.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by PGB Opinium. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (15.02.2023 - 18.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
37
PL2050
49
KO
148
PSL
24
PiS
167
Kon
35
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
315
PiS + PL2050 + Lewica
253
PiS + PL2050 + Kon
251
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
240
PiS + Lewica + Kon
239
KO + PL2050 + Lewica
234
KO + PL2050 + Kon
232
PiS + Kon + PSL
226

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by PGB Opinium. The survey took place between 15.02.2023 and 18.02.2023 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 34.8%, KO 30.9%, PL2050 10.3%, Lewica 7.9%, Kon 7.3%, PSL 5%, BS 2% and AGROunia 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.