Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Research Partner from 13.03.2023

Polling data

ZP
35.1
-0.6
KO
30.0
+1.0
Lewica
10.0
+0.4
PL2050
8.2
-0.6
Kon
5.9
-1.8
PSL
5.6
-0.2
AU
2.1
+0.7
K'15
1.0
-0.4
Sonst.
2.1
+1.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
-0.3
KO
-0.7
Lewica
+1.4
PL2050
Kon
-1.3
PSL
AU
K'15
Research Partner – 1013 respondents – 10.03.2023-13.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates PSL lower
In 38% of election polls Research Partner rates PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ZP lower
In 30% of election polls Research Partner rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Research Partner shows the following results: ZP 35.1%, KO 30%, Lewica 10%, PL2050 8.2%, Kon 5.9%, PSL 5.6%, AGROunia 2.1% and Kukiz’15 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.4 growth since the last election. Kon, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 42.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Research Partner. For this purpose, 1013 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (10.03.2023 - 13.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
48
PL2050
39
KO
146
PSL
27
ZP
172
Kon
28
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
318
ZP + Lewica + PL2050
259
ZP + Lewica + Kon
248
KO + PL2050 + Kon + PSL
240
ZP + PL2050 + Kon
239
ZP + PL2050 + PSL
238
KO + Lewica + PL2050
233
ZP + Kon + PSL
227

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Research Partner. The survey took place between 10.03.2023 and 13.03.2023 among 1013 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 35.1%, KO 30%, Lewica 10%, PL2050 8.2%, Kon 5.9%, PSL 5.6%, AGROunia 2.1% and Kukiz’15 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.