Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 23.03.2023

Polling data

PiS
36.0
+36.0
KO
28.0
+2.0
Kon
12.0
+4.0
Lewica
8.0
-1.0
PL2050
6.0
-3.0
PSL
5.0
±0.0
AU
1.0
-1.0
Sonst.
4.0
-37.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
KO
-2.7
Kon
+4.8
Lewica
-0.6
PL2050
PSL
AU
Ipsos – 1000 respondents – 20.03.2023-23.03.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: PiS 36%, KO 28%, Kon 12%, Lewica 8%, PL2050 6%, PSL 5% and AGROunia 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.8 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 37.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (20.03.2023 - 23.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
38
PL2050
29
KO
136
PSL
24
PiS
175
Kon
58
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
311
KO + Kon + PL2050 + PSL
247
PiS + Lewica + PL2050
242
PiS + Kon
233
KO + Kon + Lewica
232
PiS + PL2050 + PSL
228
KO + Lewica + PL2050 + PSL
227

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 20.03.2023 and 23.03.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 36%, KO 28%, Kon 12%, Lewica 8%, PL2050 6%, PSL 5% and AGROunia 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.