Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 19.04.2023

Poland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ZP
41.0
+41.0
KO
32.0
+6.0
Kon
8.0
±0.0
PL2050
8.0
-1.0
Lewica
7.0
-2.0
PSL
4.0
-1.0
AU
1.0
±0.0
P
1.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+5.6
KO
+1.3
Kon
+0.8
PL2050
New
Lewica
-1.6
PSL
New
AU
New
P
New
Kantar Public – 981 respondents – 14.04.2023-19.04.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates KO higher

In 80% of election polls, Kantar Public rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Kon lower

In 35% of election polls Kantar Public rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lewica lower

In 38% of election polls Kantar Public rates Lewica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050 lower

In 63% of election polls Kantar Public rates PL2050 lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ZP lower

In 68% of election polls Kantar Public rates ZP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: ZP 41%, KO 32%, Kon 8%, PL2050 8%, Lewica 7%, PSL 4%, AGROunia 1% and Porozumienie 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.6 growth since the last election. Lewica, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 40.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 981 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (14.04.2023 - 19.04.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
33
7.2%
PL2050
38
8.3%
KO
154
33.5%
ZP
197
42.8%
Kon
38
8.3%
ZP + KO
76.3%
KO + Kon + PL2050 + Lewica
57.2%
ZP + Kon
51.1%
ZP + PL2050
51.1%
ZP + Lewica
50.0%
KO + Kon + PL2050
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 14.04.2023 and 19.04.2023 among 981 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 41%, KO 32%, Kon 8%, PL2050 8%, Lewica 7%, PSL 4%, AGROunia 1% and Porozumienie 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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