Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 17.05.2023

Poland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PiS
36.0
+36.0
KO
33.0
+1.0
PL2050/PSL
12.0
+12.0
Lewica
9.0
+2.0
Kon
8.0
±0.0
AU
1.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
-51.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
New
KO
+2.3
PL2050/PSL
-2.4
Lewica
+0.4
Kon
+0.8
AU
New
Kantar Public – 979 respondents – 12.05.2023-17.05.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates KO higher

In 80% of election polls, Kantar Public rates KO higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Kon lower

In 35% of election polls Kantar Public rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lewica lower

In 38% of election polls Kantar Public rates Lewica lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS lower

In 86% of election polls Kantar Public rates PiS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: PiS 36%, KO 33%, PL2050/PSL 12%, Lewica 9%, Kon 8% and AGROunia 1%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 55.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 979 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (12.05.2023 - 17.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
42
9.1%
PL2050/PSL
56
12.2%
KO
156
33.9%
PiS
169
36.7%
Kon
37
8%
PiS + KO
70.7%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
58.0%
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Kon
57.0%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
55.2%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
54.1%
PiS + Lewica + Kon
53.9%
KO + Lewica + Kon
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 12.05.2023 and 17.05.2023 among 979 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 36%, KO 33%, PL2050/PSL 12%, Lewica 9%, Kon 8% and AGROunia 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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