Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 21.05.2023

Polling data

ZP
36.8
+1.8
KO
26.3
-1.5
PL2050/PSL
15.2
-0.8
Kon
11.8
+0.9
Lewica
9.9
-0.4
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+1.4
KO
-4.4
PL2050/PSL
+0.8
Kon
+4.6
Lewica
+1.3
IBRiS – 1020 respondents – 19.05.2023-21.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 30% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 43% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher
In 41% of election polls, IBRiS rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: ZP 36.8%, KO 26.3%, PL2050/PSL 15.2%, Kon 11.8% and Lewica 9.9%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 51.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (19.05.2023 - 21.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
45
PL2050/PSL
70
KO
121
ZP
170
Kon
54
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
291
ZP + Kon + Lewica
269
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
245
ZP + PL2050/PSL
240
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
236

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. The survey took place between 19.05.2023 and 21.05.2023 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 36.8%, KO 26.3%, PL2050/PSL 15.2%, Kon 11.8% and Lewica 9.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.