Poland
Election trend
Parties

Poland: Poll by United Surveys from 21.05.2023

Polling data

ZP
35.2
-0.2
KO
28.0
+1.5
PL2050/PSL
15.4
-0.6
Kon
10.8
+0.6
Lewica
10.6
-0.2
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
-0.2
KO
-2.7
PL2050/PSL
+1.0
Kon
+3.6
Lewica
+2.0
United Surveys – 1000 respondents – 19.05.2023-21.05.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Kon lower
In 37% of election polls United Surveys rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Lewica higher
In 34% of election polls, United Surveys rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher
In 46% of election polls, United Surveys rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from United Surveys shows the following results: ZP 35.2%, KO 28%, PL2050/PSL 15.4%, Kon 10.8% and Lewica 10.6%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. KO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 54.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by United Surveys. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (19.05.2023 - 21.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
49
PL2050/PSL
71
KO
129
ZP
162
Kon
49
Majority requires 231 seats
ZP + KO
291
ZP + Kon + Lewica
260
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
249
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
249
ZP + PL2050/PSL
233
KO + Kon + Lewica
227

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by United Surveys. The survey took place between 19.05.2023 and 21.05.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 35.2%, KO 28%, PL2050/PSL 15.4%, Kon 10.8% and Lewica 10.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.