Poland: Poll by Kantar Public from 23.08.2023

Polling data

ZP
43.0
+43.0
KO
34.0
-3.0
Lewica
9.0
+1.0
Kon
7.0
-2.0
PL2050/PSL
7.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+7.6
KO
+3.3
Lewica
+0.4
Kon
-0.2
PL2050/PSL
-7.4
Kantar Public – 983 respondents – 18.08.2023-23.08.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Kantar Public shows the following results: ZP 43%, KO 34%, Lewica 9%, Kon 7% and PL2050/PSL 7%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar Public. For this purpose, 983 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (18.08.2023 - 23.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
41
8.9%
PL2050/PSL
32
7%
KO
157
34.1%
ZP
198
43%
Kon
32
7%
ZP + KO
77.2%
ZP + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57.0%
KO + Lewica + Kon + PL2050/PSL
57.0%
ZP + Lewica
52.0%
ZP + Kon
50.0%
KO + Lewica + PL2050/PSL
50.0%
ZP + PL2050/PSL
50.0%
KO + Lewica + Kon
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Kantar Public. The survey took place between 18.08.2023 and 23.08.2023 among 983 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 43%, KO 34%, Lewica 9%, Kon 7% and PL2050/PSL 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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