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Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 10.10.2023

Polling data

PiS
40.0
+1.9
KO
31.0
-2.0
Kon
10.0
+2.3
Lewica
9.0
-2.1
PL2050/PSL
9.0
+0.3
BS
2.0
+0.7
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
New
KO
+0.3
Kon
+2.8
Lewica
+0.4
PL2050/PSL
-5.4
BS
+0.4
Ipsos – 1000 respondents – 06.10.2023-10.10.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: PiS 40%, KO 31%, Kon 10%, Lewica 9%, PL2050/PSL 9% and BS 2%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Kon might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.8 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (06.10.2023 - 10.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
42
PL2050/PSL
42
KO
144
PiS
186
Kon
46
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
330
PiS + Lewica + PL2050/PSL
270
PiS + Kon
232
KO + Kon + PL2050/PSL
232
KO + Kon + Lewica
232
KO + Lewica + PL2050/PSL
228
PiS + PL2050/PSL
228
PiS + Lewica
228

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 06.10.2023 and 10.10.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 40%, KO 31%, Kon 10%, Lewica 9%, PL2050/PSL 9% and BS 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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