Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 11.10.2023

Polling data

PiS
37.4
-0.2
KO
30.1
-0.3
PL2050/PSL
11.0
+2.7
Lewica
10.7
-1.7
Kon
8.9
+0.5
BS
1.5
-0.5
Sonst.
0.4
-0.5
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
IBRiS – 1000 respondents – 10.10.2023-11.10.2023
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 37.4%, KO 30.1%, PL2050/PSL 11%, Lewica 10.7%, Kon 8.9% and BS 1.5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.1 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 52.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (10.10.2023 - 11.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
50
PL2050/PSL
51
KO
141
PiS
176
Kon
42
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
317
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
277
PiS + PL2050/PSL + Kon
269
PiS + Lewica + Kon
268
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
242
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
234
KO + Lewica + Kon
233
PiS + PL2050/PSL
227
PiS + Lewica
226

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. The survey took place between 10.10.2023 and 11.10.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 37.4%, KO 30.1%, PL2050/PSL 11%, Lewica 10.7%, Kon 8.9% and BS 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.