Poland: Poll by Research Partner from 09.10.2023

Poland: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ZP
38.6
+0.3
KO
29.2
+1.0
Kon
9.7
-0.6
Lewica
9.6
+0.9
PL2050/PSL
9.1
-1.8
BS
2.9
+1.1
Others
0.9
-0.9
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
ZP
+3.2
KO
-1.5
Kon
+2.5
Lewica
+1.0
PL2050/PSL
-5.3
BS
+1.3
Research Partner – 1084 respondents – 06.10.2023-09.10.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL lower

In 33% of election polls Research Partner rates PL2050/PSL lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Poland from Research Partner shows the following results: ZP 38.6%, KO 29.2%, Kon 9.7%, Lewica 9.6%, PL2050/PSL 9.1% and BS 2.9%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, ZP might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. PL2050/PSL, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 49.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Research Partner. For this purpose, 1084 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (06.10.2023 - 09.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
46
10%
PL2050/PSL
43
9.3%
KO
140
30.4%
ZP
185
40.2%
Kon
46
10%
ZP + KO
70.7%
KO + Lewica + Kon
50.4%
ZP + Kon
50.2%
ZP + Lewica
50.2%
KO + Lewica + PL2050/PSL
49.8%
KO + Kon + PL2050/PSL
49.8%
ZP + PL2050/PSL
49.6%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Research Partner. The survey took place between 06.10.2023 and 09.10.2023 among 1084 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ZP 38.6%, KO 29.2%, Kon 9.7%, Lewica 9.6%, PL2050/PSL 9.1% and BS 2.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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