Upcoming elections:

Poland: Poll by Ipsos from 08.12.2023

Polling data

PiS
34.0
-6.0
KO
28.0
-3.0
PL2050/PSL
16.0
+7.0
Lewica
11.0
+2.0
Kon
8.0
-2.0
Sonst.
3.0
+2.0
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
Ipsos – 1507 respondents – 01.12.2023-08.12.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from Ipsos shows the following results: PiS 34%, KO 28%, PL2050/PSL 16%, Lewica 11% and Kon 8%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, Lewica might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.4 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 56.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1507 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (01.12.2023 - 08.12.2023).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
52
PL2050/PSL
76
KO
133
PiS
162
Kon
37
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
295
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
261
PiS + Lewica + Kon
251
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
246
PiS + PL2050/PSL
238

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 01.12.2023 and 08.12.2023 among 1507 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 34%, KO 28%, PL2050/PSL 16%, Lewica 11% and Kon 8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.