Upcoming elections:

Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 08.01.2024

Polling data

PiS
36.0
+3.3
KO
33.7
+5.6
PL2050/PSL
14.8
+14.8
Lewica
9.3
-0.4
Kon
5.3
-4.1
Sonst.
0.9
-19.2
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
IBRiS – 1000 respondents – 05.01.2024-08.01.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 36%, KO 33.7%, PL2050/PSL 14.8%, Lewica 9.3% and Kon 5.3%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, KO might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 58.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (05.01.2024 - 08.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
43
PL2050/PSL
68
KO
157
PiS
168
Kon
24
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
325
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
268
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
249
PiS + PL2050/PSL
236
PiS + Lewica + Kon
235

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. The survey took place between 05.01.2024 and 08.01.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 36%, KO 33.7%, PL2050/PSL 14.8%, Lewica 9.3% and Kon 5.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.