Upcoming elections:

Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 13.01.2024

Polling data

PiS
34.9
-1.1
KO
31.1
-2.6
PL2050/PSL
17.4
+2.6
Lewica
9.6
+0.3
Kon
6.5
+1.2
Sonst.
0.5
-0.4
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
IBRiS – 1067 respondents – 12.01.2024-13.01.2024
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 34.9%, KO 31.1%, PL2050/PSL 17.4%, Lewica 9.6% and Kon 6.5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, PL2050/PSL might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (?) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 58.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1067 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (12.01.2024 - 13.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Lewica
44
PL2050/PSL
80
KO
144
PiS
162
Kon
30
Majority requires 231 seats
PiS + KO
306
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
268
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
254
PiS + PL2050/PSL
242
PiS + Lewica + Kon
236

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. The survey took place between 12.01.2024 and 13.01.2024 among 1067 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 34.9%, KO 31.1%, PL2050/PSL 17.4%, Lewica 9.6% and Kon 6.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.