Poland: Poll by IBRiS from 13.01.2024

Polling data

PiS
34.9
-1.1
KO
31.1
-2.6
PL2050/PSL
17.4
+2.6
Lewica
9.6
+0.3
Kon
6.5
+1.2
Others
0.5
-0.4
Development since the last election on 15.10.2023
PiS
New
KO
+0.4
PL2050/PSL
+3.0
Lewica
+1.0
Kon
-0.7
IBRiS – 1067 respondents – 12.01.2024-13.01.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Poland is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Kon lower

In 33% of election polls IBRiS rates Kon lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Lewica higher

In 40% of election polls, IBRiS rates Lewica higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PiS higher

In 52% of election polls, IBRiS rates PiS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PL2050/PSL higher

In 36% of election polls, IBRiS rates PL2050/PSL higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Poland - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Poland from IBRiS shows the following results: PiS 34.9%, KO 31.1%, PL2050/PSL 17.4%, Lewica 9.6% and Kon 6.5%. If an election were held in Poland this Sunday, PL2050/PSL might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.0 growth since the last election. PiS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (New) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Donald Tusk is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from KO, Lewica and PL2050/PSL. With 58.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by IBRiS. For this purpose, 1067 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 1 days (12.01.2024 - 13.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

460
Majority requires 231 seats
Lewica
44
9.6%
PL2050/PSL
80
17.5%
KO
144
31.3%
PiS
162
35.1%
Kon
30
6.5%
PiS + KO
66.5%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Lewica
58.3%
KO + PL2050/PSL + Kon
55.2%
PiS + PL2050/PSL
52.6%
PiS + Lewica + Kon
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Poland was conducted by IBRiS. The survey took place between 12.01.2024 and 13.01.2024 among 1067 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PiS 34.9%, KO 31.1%, PL2050/PSL 17.4%, Lewica 9.6% and Kon 6.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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